The direction of the December Comex gold market early Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to $1787.90.
Gold futures traded lower on Tuesday, pressured by a firm U.S. Dollar and increased demand for risky assets ahead of a highly-anticipated U.S. Federal Reserve meeting that could provide a timeline on the Fed’s first post-pandemic rate hike amid rising inflationary pressures.
On Tuesday, December Comex gold settled at $1788.90, down $6.90 or -0.38%.
In addition to remarks on its rate hike schedule, the Fed is expected to approve plans to scale back its massive stimulus program on Wednesday, when it concludes a two-day policy meeting.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart, however, momentum is trending lower. A trade through $1760.30 will change the main trend to down. A move through $1815.50 will reaffirm the uptrend.
The minor trend is down. This is controlling the momentum. A move through $1812.70 will change the minor trend to up. Taking out $1772.40 will indicate the selling pressure is getting stronger.
On the upside, the nearest resistance is a pair of 50% levels at $1795.00 and $1800.00.
On the downside, potential support is lined up at $1787.90, $1780.50, $1768.30 and $1757.40.
The direction of the December Comex gold market early Wednesday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to $1787.90.
A sustained move over $1787.90 will indicate the presence of buyers. This could lead to a labored rally with potential resistance at $1795.00 and $1800.00.
A sustained move under $1787.90 will signal the presence of sellers. The first downside target is $1772.40, followed closely by $1768.30.
If $1768.30 fails as support then look for a further decline into $1760.30, followed closely by $1757.40.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.