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Gold Price Futures (GC) Technical Analysis – Trader Reaction to Pivot at $1232.90 Will Set the Tone Today

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Jul 31, 2018, 21:45 UTC

The market closed on Tuesday at $1232.90. This is also the same price as the pivot controlling its near-term direction. The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart, however, momentum may have shifted to the upside with the formation of a closing price reversal bottom on Tuesday.

Comex Gold

December Comex Gold futures finished higher on Tuesday after buyers rejected an attempt by sellers to reach a new low for the year. The catalyst behind the move was a rebound in the Chinese Yuan against the U.S. Dollar. The Chinese currency rose after a report said that the U.S. and China were trying to restart negotiations to defuse a trade war.

Comex Gold
Daily December Comex Gold

 Daily Swing Chart Technical Analysis

The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart, however, momentum may have shifted to the upside with the formation of a closing price reversal bottom on Tuesday.

The main trend will change to up on a trade through $1244.70. A trade through $1222.60 will negate the reversal bottom and a move through $1221.00 will signal a resumption of the downtrend.

A trade through $1237.80 will confirm Tuesday’s closing price reversal bottom. It will also shift momentum to the upside. If it generates enough upside momentum, buyers may even take a shot at $1244.70.

The short-term range is $1221.00 to $1244.70. Its 50% level or pivot at $1232.90 is controlling the near-term direction of the market.

The main range is $1278.20 to $1221.00. Its retracement zone at $1249.60 to $1256.40 is the primary upside target.

Daily Swing Chart Technical Forecast

The market closed on Tuesday at $1232.90. This is also the same price as the pivot controlling its near-term direction.

A sustained move over $1232.90 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this move generates enough upside momentum then look for buyers to go after yesterday’s high at $1237.80. Taking out this level will confirm the reversal bottom and shift momentum to the upside. This could drive the market into the main top at $1244.70.

Taking out $1244.70 will change the trend to up. This could lead to a test of $1249.60 to $1256.40.

A sustained move under $1232.90 will signal the presence of sellers. If the selling volume increases on this move then look for a drive into $1222.60 then $1221.00. The latter is the trigger point for an acceleration to the downside.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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