Based on the early price action, the direction of the December Comex gold futures contract early Monday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the minor pivot at $1517.50.
Gold prices are under pressure for a second session on Tuesday as investors continue to react to a shift in investor sentiment as global bond yields firm and the U.S. 2-year/10-year Treasury yield is no longer flashing signs of a recession. Increased demand for higher risk assets are also helping to weigh on gold prices as well as the stronger U.S. Dollar.
At 06:33 GMT, December Comex gold futures are trading $1508.10, down $3.70 or -0.24%.
The main trend is up according to the daily swing chart, however, momentum has been trending lower since the formation of the closing price reversal top at $1546.10 on August 13.
A trade through $1546.10 will negate the closing price reversal top and signal a resumption of the uptrend.
A move through $1488.90 will confirm the closing price reversal top and the shift in momentum to down.
The minor range is $1546.10 to $1488.90. Its 50% level or pivot at $1517.50 is controlling the direction of the market early Tuesday. This level is resistance.
The short-term range is $1412.10 to $1456.10. Its retracement zone at $1479.10 to $1463.30 is the first downside target. Since the trend is up, look for buyers to come in on a test of this area.
The main range is $1396.40 to $1546.10. Its retracement zone at $1471.30 to $1453.60 is the major downside target. The short-term retracement zone is actually straddling the main 50% level at $1471.30.
Based on the early price action, the direction of the December Comex gold futures contract early Monday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the minor pivot at $1517.50.
A sustained move under $1517.50 will indicate the presence of sellers. The daily swing chart shows no support until $1488.90.
Taking out $1488.90 could trigger a break into a series of retracement and potential support levels at $1479.10, $1471.30, $1463.30 and $1463.60.
A sustained move over $1517.50 will signal the presence of buyers. The first target is the former top at $1532.40 and the closing price reversal top at $1546.10.
James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.