Gold edges higher on Wednesday while holding between $4,000 and $4,200. Lower volume on the recent pullback is a concern, but the developing range may help the market stabilize before attempting another move toward $4,400. This is a market that will continue to see momentum.
The gold market has rallied slightly during the early hours here on Wednesday as we continue to pay close attention to the $4,200 level above because that was the most recent swing higher. It’s worth noting that so far, it looks like we made a lower low with lower volume, and that is a potentially bad sign for the overall trend.
With that being said, I look at this as a market that may be trying to find some type of range between $4,000 and $4,200. That actually is a very bullish thing because it would allow the market to accept these overall levels for gold and look at it through the prism of a market that is in an area that makes sense. If we turn around and break down below the 50-day EMA, then the $3,800 level gets targeted, as it was an area that was a target after we formed an ascending triangle previously. Anything below there probably opens up the trap door.
Breaking above the $4,200 level does open up the possibility of a move to the $4,400 level, but I don’t like it if it goes too quickly. I want it to be something where the market digests gold at this price, accepts the idea of $4,000 gold, and then continues higher. To get truly bullish in the short term, this is a nice range-bound type of market just waiting to set up and could open up a lot of opportunities.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.