The gold market continues to see a lot of buying pressure as we are now over the $4000 level. Ultimately, this is a market that cannot be sold, and we have to look at pullbacks as opportunities. Gold is a “one-way trade.”
The gold market has rallied again during the trading session here on Wednesday in the early hours, as we are now well above the $4,000 level. That being said, I am a bit concerned about the extension of this move because quite frankly, we are overbought by just about every metric you can imagine. So, with that being said, although I certainly wouldn’t short the gold market, I don’t like chasing. I like buying pullbacks if and when we ever get them, as they offer value in the form of “cheap ounces.”
The $4,000 level could end up being a bit of a support level now that it was a previous resistance. And with that being said, I think you’ve got a situation where the market memory could be enough to have people getting involved. If we break down below there, then we could open up a move all the way down to the $3,900 level. The previous ascending triangle that we had broken out suggested the $3,800 level as a target, but now we have blown through that. I think $3,800 will probably become the bottom of your trend, at least in the short term.
To the upside, the $4,100 level could be targeted, but I think really, we desperately need a pullback at this point. You can’t just blindly chase something that has shot straight up in the air. All things being equal, this is a market that continues to see buyers overall, as there are many reasons for this situation to continue going forward.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.