The gold market is looking very much like a market that is at “fair value”, as the gold market finds itself in the middle of the larger consolidation area that we have been in for a few months now. Ultimately though, I am still bullish about gold.
The gold market has been slightly positive during the trading session here on Wednesday, as we continue to hang around the crucial 50-day EMA, it’s almost acting as a trend line. So, it’s interesting to see how this is just grinding away. Nonetheless, I think this is a market that will eventually go looking at the $3,500 level above, which is a major resistance barrier and of course a large, round, psychologically significant figure that attracts attention.
When I look at the chart, I see a market that is in the midst of trying to work off some of the excess froth from that huge run higher. It makes perfect sense for gold to take a little bit of a breather at this point, as there has been so much in the way of chaos around the world that traders have jumped into this market impulsively. And now I think at this point in time, nobody really knows what to do.
There’s no real reason to sell gold, but I think ultimately, traders aren’t necessarily willing to just jump in and buy a hand over fist either. We are basically in the middle of what I see as a consolidation area between the $3,200 level on the bottom and the $3,500 level on the top. So, we’re basically at fair value. I really don’t see an opportunity here at the moment, although if I were forced to take a position, it would most certainly be to the upside.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.