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Gold Price Prediction – Prices Consolidate as US Yields Stabilize

By:
David Becker
Published: Feb 27, 2020, 18:11 UTC

Gold prices are consolidating and despite the selloff in riskier assets, the rush to gold as a safe haven was minor. Gold has been consolidation and

Gold Price Prediction – Prices Consolidate as US Yields Stabilize

Gold prices are consolidating and despite the selloff in riskier assets, the rush to gold as a safe haven was minor. Gold has been consolidation and continues to range trade waiting for US yields to take another leg lower.  Yields dropped to 1.235% which is the lowest in more than 100-years but rebounded and above the 1.32%, which weighed on gold prices. The flight to bonds should continue following data that will be released at the beginning of March. Housing data continued to impress as the drop in the mortgage rate continued to attract home buyers.

Technical Analysis

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Technical Analysis

Gold prices moved higher early as riskier assets came under pressure. As the day progressed, prices retraced and traded near Wednesday close. The price action still looks like a bull flag pattern. This is a pause that refreshes higher. Target resistance on gold prices is seen near the 2012 highs at 1,792. Support is seen near the 10-day moving average at 1,621. Short term momentum has turned negative as the fast stochastic recently generated a crossover sell signal, and continue to accelerate lower as a steady clip. The current reading on the fast stochastic is 61, declining from overbought territory which also reflects decelerating positive momentum. The MACD histogram is printing in the black with a declining trajectory which points to consolidation.

The Housing Market is Surge

Declining Treasury yields are weighing on mortgage rates, providing lower costs to purchase homes. The National Association of Realtors reported that Pending Home sales surged 5.2% in January, up 5.7% year over year. Pending sales measure signed contracts, not closings.

About the Author

David Becker focuses his attention on various consulting and portfolio management activities at Fortuity LLC, where he currently provides oversight for a multimillion-dollar portfolio consisting of commodities, debt, equities, real estate, and more.

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