Gold Price Prediction – Prices Rise as the Dollar Drops Following Fed Decision

David Becker
Published: Apr 28, 2021, 19:32 UTC

The Fed kept rates unchanged

Gold Price Prediction – Prices Rise as the Dollar Drops Following Fed Decision

Gold prices rebounded from session lows and close up on the session as the dollar dropped in the wake of the Fed decision. U.S. Treasury yields eased after rallying on Tuesday. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates on hold for the foreseeable future, despite higher inflation expectations and stronger growth.

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Technical analysis

Gold prices rebounded on Wednesday, bouncing off the lows and closing above support.  The upward trend remains in place with resistance seen near the Fibonacci retracement level of 38.2%, which is seen near 1,828. Target resistance on the yellow metal is seen near the February highs at 1,855. Support is seen near the 10-day moving average at 1,778. The 10-day moving average has crossed above the 50-day moving average which means that a short-term uptrend is now in place. Short-term momentum is  negative but consolidating as the fast stochastic started to consolidate. The current reading on the fast stochastic is 76. Medium-term momentum has turned positive as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) index generated a crossover buy signal. The MACD histogram is printing in positive territory with a declining trajectory which points to consolidation.

The Fed Keep Rates Unchanged

The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged but acknowledged that the U.S. economy is accelerating. The U.S. central bank decided to keep short-term interest rates anchored near zero as it buys at least $120 billion of bonds each month. Despite noting the economic strength as well as inflation that is on the rise, the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee unanimously decided to make no changes in its approach. Powell said that it’s still not time to talk about reducing policy accommodation, including the asset purchases.

About the Author

David Becker focuses his attention on various consulting and portfolio management activities at Fortuity LLC, where he currently provides oversight for a multimillion-dollar portfolio consisting of commodities, debt, equities, real estate, and more.

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