Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Bullish Reversal Tests Boundaries of Symmetrical Triangle

Gold Rebounds from Key Triangle Support

Gold found support on Wednesday at $3,311 as price action tested the lower boundary line of a large symmetrical triangle formation. This consolidation pattern continues to form at the top of the long-term bull trend, making its resolution especially important for the next directional move. A dip to a new short-term trend low of $3,311, including a drop below Tuesday’s $3,315 low, was quickly reversed. That rebound led to an outside-day bullish reversal day as gold reclaimed Tuesday’s high of $3,345. The recovery suggests short-term control has shifted to the bulls, though the broader containment within the triangle continues to cap enthusiasm.

If gold closes above Tuesday’s high, the bullish reversal will be confirmed, strengthening the case for additional upside. Since the apex of the triangle is drawing closer, the time window for a breakout has been entered. Should momentum extend, this rally has the potential to trigger an upside pattern breakout. However, given that the current push is emerging from the lower end of the pattern, a sustained move higher will require sustained momentum.

Rising Momentum and Key Levels to Watch

Wednesday’s reversal established a higher swing low, while reaffirming dynamic support at the triangle’s lower boundary line. A rally above last week’s minor swing high at $3,375 would further confirm strength, putting the upper boundary in sight. Beyond that, $3,409 presents an intermediate hurdle. A decisive breakout above $3,439, however, would clear resistance at the top boundary and signal continuation of the broader bull trend.

The consolidation has compressed price energy, building potential for an eventual surge once a breakout occurs. Any sustained upside move should be accompanied by stronger volume and signs of momentum expansion to validate a bullish continuation.

Long-Term Support Remains Intact

Importantly, the recent pullback found support around the long-term 20-Week moving average. That level was also tested successfully in late July, confirming its role as dynamic support. It is not unusual for price to retest such a key moving average before breaking higher. This behavior adds weight to the current rebound and strengthens the argument that gold is preparing for another leg higher if resistance is overcome.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.