Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Momentum Builds Ahead of Key Resistance Zone

Gold Regains Strength with Minor Breakout Signals

Gold triggered a bullish continuation signal on Tuesday, breaking out of an inside day to reach an 11-day high at $3,389. The move also recaptured last week’s high, confirming a weekly breakout. Early in the session, momentum picked up after a swift back test of support at the 20-Day and 50-Day moving averages, now at $3,351 and $3,346, respectively. Buyers then drove gold to higher prices, setting a new short-term trend high and re-establishing near-term momentum.

Approaching Triangle Resistance

The breakout positions gold for a test of resistance at the top boundary of a symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern. As price action nears the apex of the formation, the likelihood of a decisive breakout increases. The most recent swing high of $3,409 sits close to this resistance line, making it a key reference point. Beyond that, the prior interim swing high at $3,439 is another critical level that must be cleared to confirm sustained bullish strength.

Bullish Behavior Confirmed by Moving Averages

Tuesday’s rally also carried gold firmly back above its 20-Day and 50-Day moving averages, a technical achievement that bolsters the bullish case. Pullbacks to these averages followed by recoveries are often seen as constructive behavior, showing that prior resistance has successfully transitioned into support. This pattern implies the market could be preparing for one or more strong up days, with the short-term trend favoring buyers despite the broader consolidation.

Bigger Picture: Symmetrical Triangle at Highs

A symmetrical triangle has formed near the highs of gold’s long-term uptrend, signaling bullish strength. Still, conviction requires confirmation — specifically, a daily close above $3,439. A rally above that level would likely confirm an upside breakout and mark the continuation of the larger bullish cycle. Until then, gold remains within the confines of consolidation, coiling ahead of a potential breakout.

Key Support Levels to Watch

Support remains well-defined. The lower boundary of the triangle is estimated to be near $3,324, while the most recent higher swing low at $3,311 provides additional support. Holding above these levels preserves the constructive structure of the consolidation and keeps the bullish case intact.

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