Litecoin (LTC) is starting to resemble the early-stage setup that preceded Zcash’s (ZEC) explosive 1,690% rally versus Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025.
LTC/BTC has crashed by more than 98.50% since 2014. During its decade-long downtrend, the pair has rebounded multiple times, including a roughly 750% recovery during the 2017-2018 bull market.
It signals similar rebounds in 2026, with a Zcash fractal supporting the upside outlook.
What the LTC/BTC Chart Suggests for 2026
LTC/BTC is still trading inside a multi-year descending channel, but it has been basing near the channel floor after printing a bullish rejection wick in October 2025.
It’s a sign that buyers defended the lows even as the broader downtrend remained intact.
That matters because Zcash’s 2025 breakout versus Bitcoin followed a similar arc: years of compression under a downtrend, then a trendline break and EMA reclaims before the pair repriced sharply higher.
Litecoin’s bullish 2026 “confirmation” remains mechanical:
Hold the channel floor on weekly closes.
Reclaim the 50-week EMA near 0.000972 BTC.
Break the channel’s upper trendline and flip it into support.
If those steps occur, the 200-week EMA at around 0.002141 BTC becomes the logical mean-reversion reference. A decisive weekly breakdown below the channel floor would weaken the Zcash-fractal thesis.
Litecoin’s dollar chart is also coiling for a breakout.
On the 2-week timeframe, LTC/USD is compressing inside a multi-year triangle, with price repeatedly respecting rising support while the ceiling trends lower, similar to Zcash’s year-long squeeze before its 2025 breakout.
ZEC/USD only accelerated after price cleared the downtrend cap and held above key moving averages, triggering a fast repricing phase.
If LTC confirms a comparable resolution—weekly/2-week closes above the triangle’s upper trendline—its next magnet sits in the prior supply zone around $120–$150, with an extension toward $200 if momentum follows through.
In a Q4 2025 research note, Grayscale argued that “privacy is a normal part of the financial system,” highlighting that privacy-preserving protocols would be standout performers in 2026.
Researchers at KuCoin expect privacy tokens to extend relative outperformance into 2026, driven by rising demand for financial anonymity amid tighter oversight.
This backdrop matters for Litecoin: if the sector tailwind persists, capital rotation into privacy coin narratives can amplify technical breakouts rather than fade them.
Yashu Gola is a crypto journalist and analyst with expertise in digital assets, blockchain, and macroeconomics. He provides in-depth market analysis, technical chart patterns, and insights on global economic impacts. His work bridges traditional finance and crypto, offering actionable advice and educational content. Passionate about blockchain's role in finance, he studies behavioral finance to predict memecoin trends.