The US indices have been celebrating the announcement of US/Chinese talks in Switzerland but also have to focus on the idea of the FOMC press conference later in the session.
The Nasdaq 100 rallied a bit during the early hours on Wednesday as the Chinese and Americans have announced that there is a meeting in Switzerland to discuss tariffs. So that, of course, had everybody excited. That being said, we also have to keep in mind that the FOMC is meeting later in the day. So that obviously will be the main focus as we go into the session.
It is worth noting that the 20,000 level of course is an area that has been important, and we are approaching. So, it does make a certain amount of sense that we’d see a little bit of hesitation here. Short-term pullbacks though should see the 50-day EMA as interesting support.
The Dow Jones 30 has risen during the early hours, as well as threatening the 50-day EMA. If we can break higher, then the market is more likely than not going to go looking at the 200 day EMA, followed by the 40,000 level. This is a “buy on the dip” set up just waiting to happen at this point in time.
The S&P 500 has of course bounced a bit from the 50 day EMA and the crucial 5,600 level in reaction to those talks being announced. At this point in time, the market is going to be waiting to see what Jerome Powell has to say probably in the press conference because no interest rate decision is expected, at least no change. So, with this, I think we are approaching an area that is going to be difficult to get above.
But if we were to somehow break above 5,800, and that’s not something that I would anticipate happening during the Wednesday session, that gives the “all clear”, all-time highs. I don’t think we’re there yet for the momentum, but Jerome Powell may hint that there are interest rates coming in. If that’s the case, it’s very possible the S&P 500 rallies. Otherwise, look for the 5,400 level underneath to be the next major support level that traders will try to hang on to.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.