As macroeconomic factors cast shadows, Dow Jones and S&P 500 investors weigh Salesforce's impressive earnings against rate hike uncertainties.
The S&P 500 futures hovered at a plateau Thursday, in line with the recent positive momentum, as investors weighed in on an impressive earnings beat by Salesforce and closely monitored economic indicators. Meanwhile, fresh data showcased a potential cooling in the U.S. economy, hinting at the Federal Reserve’s possible stance in the coming months.
Post their fiscal second-quarter revelations, Salesforce’s stock surged by over 5%. The software behemoth reported an adjusted earnings of $2.12 per share, surpassing analysts’ expectations of $1.90. The company’s revenue clocked in at $8.60 billion, also nudging past the anticipated $8.53 billion. This commendable performance lent support to the Dow futures, which rose 102 points or 0.29%.
Recent data suggests a tempering U.S. economy, particularly after an ADP National Employment report indicated an increase of 177,000 private jobs in August, short of the 195,000 predictions. Moreover, the latest GDP figures revealed a 2.1% growth in the second quarter, a deceleration from the initial 2.4% estimation. These figures are guiding investor expectations about the Federal Reserve’s next moves. The consensus? A probable pause in rate hikes come September.
Investors remain watchful for July’s personal consumption expenditures data and the non-farm payroll numbers. The former, being the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, holds significant weight. Speculations surrounding the Fed’s rate decision have been rife. Notably, bets on unchanged interest rates in September have jumped to nearly 89%. Amid this climate, Nvidia experienced a 1% stock uptick, with $35.5 billion worth of shares exchanged, marking it Wall Street’s most traded entity.
In light of the current economic data and corporate performance, a cautiously bullish sentiment seems to be brewing. Traders are now attuned to forthcoming economic releases to gauge the possible trajectory of the U.S. economy and decipher the Federal Reserve’s next move. However, with the U.S. Labor Day holiday looming, trading activity might remain subdued in the immediate term.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.