Traders eye July's CPI report, while Nasdaq's 31% annual growth signals U.S. economic hope, and Biden limits tech investments in China.
U.S. stock index futures saw a positive momentum on Thursday as traders and investors eagerly awaited the release of the key Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July. Scheduled for 12:30 GMT, predictions lean towards a 0.2% rise, mirroring the previous month’s increase. Annually, it’s anticipated that the CPI will mark a 3.3% climb, a slight increase from the previous 3.0%.
Despite the Nasdaq leading a dip in Wall Street the previous day, notably with Nvidia dropping by 4.7%, the index has shown remarkable resilience this year. It boasts a 31% growth, fueled by hopes for a stable U.S. economic landing amidst the Fed’s robust interest rate adjustments and budding enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence’s potential. As the tech sector responded, significant players like Amazon.com, Microsoft, and Apple saw a pre-bell uptick ranging from 0.5% to 0.9%.
Corporate America wasn’t without its fair share of action. Walt Disney stock prices leaped by 1.5% post their Wall Street estimates beat on the quarterly adjusted profit per share. Capri Holdings Ltd., the force behind Michael Kors, saw its stocks skyrocket by 58.3% following news of an $8.5 billion acquisition by Tapestry, which conversely dipped by 3.8% after the announcement. Additionally, U.S.-listed Alibaba stocks swelled by 4.3% after revealing encouraging quarterly sales figures, indicating an uptick in consumer sentiment.
While the market showed signs of optimism, President Joe Biden’s recent executive order could introduce an air of caution. The order, signed on Wednesday, restricts certain new U.S. investments in China, particularly in sensitive tech sectors like computer chips.
The general market sentiment leans towards optimism, as evidenced by traders’ 86.5% odds favoring the Fed’s halt in aggressive interest rate hikes. However, the S&P is expected to maintain its position for some time until clarity around the peak U.S. rates emerges. Given the looming inflation data release and corporate dynamics at play, the market appears cautiously bullish.
James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.