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Nasdaq Index, Dow Jones, S&P 500 News: Earnings Jostle with Geopolitics Amid Volatility

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Oct 16, 2023, 14:36 GMT+00:00

Wall Street kicks off the week on a high, buoyed by a promising earnings calendar; gains seen in Dow Jones, Nasdaq, and S&P 500.

s&p500, Nasdaq Composite, Dow Jones

Highlights

  • Wall Street sees uptick as Johnson & Johnson, Bank of America, and others gear up for earnings.
  • Bond yields and inflation rise, while Barclays foresees a dovish Fed to counterbalance risks.
  • Israel’s Gaza operations and U.S. aid add another layer of complexity to market dynamics.

Earnings Take Center Stage Amid Market Volatility

Wall Street kicked off the week on a high note, bolstered by anticipation surrounding a loaded corporate earnings calendar. Companies like Johnson & Johnson, Bank of America, Netflix, and Tesla are all queued to reveal their financial scorecards, following a strong earnings opener from JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and UnitedHealth.

Market Pulse: Bond Yields, Oil Prices, and Geopolitics

Simultaneously, analysts are cautioning investors about increased market turbulence towards the year-end. With Treasury yields on the ascent and persistent inflation, market sentiment remains shaky. Barclays analyst Ajay Rajadhyaksha suggests that these negative factors could be counterbalanced by strong earnings and a dovish Federal Reserve. Overseas, geopolitical strains loom large as Israel continues its military activity in Gaza, receiving expedited military aid from the U.S. Senate.

Mixed Bag: A Week of Contrasting Performances

Last week offered a mixed performance bag for major indices. The Dow Jones and S&P 500 managed gains, but the Nasdaq lagged, partially weighed down by sectors sensitive to higher rates. The trading week ahead is already showing its colors, with shares of Pfizer and vaccine makers like Moderna and BioNTech tumbling, while consumer product giant Colgate-Palmolive gains traction.

Spotlight on Troubled Waters and Triumphs

Rite Aid’s recent bankruptcy announcement triggered a 16% plunge in its stock, capping off an already miserable year for the company. In contrast, the athleisure brand Lululemon received a boost, seeing its shares leap over 5% ahead of its upcoming inclusion in the S&P 500.

Short-Term Forecast: Earnings in Focus

In the short term, the market seems to be in a holding pattern, awaiting cues from corporate earnings and Fed policies. While geopolitical tensions and inflation exert downward pressure, a strong earnings season could provide the bullish thrust needed to navigate through these choppy waters.

Technical Analysis

Daily S&P 500 Index

The S&P 500 Index is trading at 4378.13, comfortably above its 200-day moving average of 4224.02, suggesting a bullish long-term outlook. It’s also perched close to its 50-day moving average of 4402.06, indicating some short-term indecision.

The asset is trading between minor resistance at 4327.18 and main resistance at 4448.58, while maintaining above trend line support at 4329.00. With main support sitting at 4197.68, the index has a solid floor.

The positioning between key averages and support levels hints at a cautiously bullish market sentiment.

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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