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Nasdaq Index, Dow Jones, S&P 500 News: Rate Cuts, Corporate Developments Lead Stocks Higher

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Dec 18, 2023, 15:05 GMT+00:00

Fed rate cut prospects boost S&P 500, oil prices up; Adobe-Figma merger off; U.S. Steel soars after acquisition.

S&P 500 Index, Nasdaq Composite, Dow Jones

Highlights

  • Federal Reserve’s Potential 2024 Rate Cuts Boost Investor Sentiment
  • Decreased 10-Year Treasury Note Yields Reflect Dovish Fed Stance
  • Oil Prices Surge Due to Red Sea Shipping Disruptions
  • Adobe and Figma Terminate $20 Billion Merger Plan
  • U.S. Steel’s Share Surge Following Nippon Steel Acquisition

US Stock Market Continues Upward Trend Amid Global Economic Shifts

The US stock market opened higher on Monday, marking the seventh consecutive week of gains. This rise reflects a positive investor sentiment fueled by the Federal Reserve’s indication of potential interest rate cuts in 2024, amidst signs of cooling inflation.

At 14:46 GMT, the blue chip Dow is trading 37364.33, up 59.17 or +0.16%. The benchmark S&P 500 Index is at 4732.91, up 13.72 or +0.29% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite is trading 14835.16, up 21.24 or +0.14%.

Federal Reserve’s Influence and Oil Market Dynamics

Investors are cautiously optimistic, drawing parallels with the 2017-2018 market rally, which eventually faced volatility. The Federal Reserve’s dovish stance has led to a decrease in the 10-year Treasury note yield, now below 4%, and widening credit spreads. In the commodities sector, oil prices surged over 2% due to disruptions in Red Sea shipping caused by militant attacks, affecting major companies like BP.

Corporate Movements: Mergers and Acquisitions

In corporate news, Adobe and Figma called off their $20 billion merger due to regulatory challenges. Meanwhile, U.S. Steel shares soared following the announcement of its acquisition by Japan’s Nippon Steel for $14.9 billion. Other notable premarket movements include a drop in Affirm shares and a rise in Illumina’s stock price.

Market Analysts’ Outlook and Goldman Sachs Forecast

Oppenheimer analysts view the S&P 500’s recent rally as a resumption of the bull cycle, expecting this trend to continue into 2024. However, they advise caution due to the market’s overbought condition. Goldman Sachs, optimistic about the market’s trajectory, has raised its 2024 S&P 500 forecast, expecting an 8% rise to 5,100 next year.

Summarizing the Market’s Direction

Overall, the US stock market is experiencing a blend of cautious optimism and dynamic corporate activity. With the Federal Reserve’s dovish pivot and key corporate developments, investors are navigating a complex market landscape, balancing bullish trends with underlying caution.

Technical Analysis

Daily E-mini S&P 500 Index

The E-mini S&P 500 Index, with a current price of 4784.50, is exhibiting bullish characteristics as it stands above both the 200-day moving average (4442.03) and the 50-day moving average (4503.79). This positioning suggests a strong upward trend over both the medium and long term.

Additionally, the index is currently above the main support level of 4494.00, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment. The absence of defined minor and main resistance levels indicates potential for continued upward movement without immediate upper barriers.

Overall, these technical indicators point towards a bullish market sentiment for the E-mini S&P 500 Index, indicating a likelihood of sustained positive momentum. ​

About the Author

James Hyerczyk is a U.S. based seasoned technical analyst and educator with over 40 years of experience in market analysis and trading, specializing in chart patterns and price movement. He is the author of two books on technical analysis and has a background in both futures and stock markets.

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