The three major indices in this analysis all look as if they are trying to grind to the upside, as we are looking forward to the Federal Reserve interest rate decision on Thursday, and its ramifications going forward.
The Nasdaq 100 is ever so slightly positive during the early pre-market hours on Monday as we continue the overall upward trajectory. That being said, keep in mind that Wednesday has the Federal Reserve interest rate decision coming out and that will have a major influence on risk appetite. So, the idea of getting excited about the rate cut itself is not how to play this. The market’s known that.
The reality is, how does the Federal Reserve sound? Do they sound concerned or not? If they sound concerned, that could be bad for the NASDAQ 100. So, this is going to come down to interpretation of meaning. So, there is so much potential for a pullback later this week. Nonetheless, the overall trajectory is still higher.
The Dow Jones 30 is a little bit positive in the early hours here on Monday, as we continue to squeeze to the upside. On the chart, I see a rising wedge potentially peaking here, but we’ll just have to wait and see. We would need some type of major shift lower to have that fulfilled.
As things stand right now, it looks more of a grind to the upside. I still believe the 45,000 level would be a massive support level if we were to drop down to that level. But really, I don’t see that being a major issue at the moment. I still think that’s more or less going to be a buy on the dip type of environment.
The S&P 500 is grinding a little bit higher to new highs as we are breaking the 6600 level. This is a very bullish move, but very subtle. I think short-term pullbacks continue to be buying opportunities. I think the 6500 level is going to continue to be on a major floor, as it was a major resistance. Ultimately, this is a market that the channel I think holds, and I do think that Wednesday, again, is going to be very important.
We probably get a little bit of a dip between now and then, but we’ll have to see how the market behaves really on Friday. I think Friday is the key to where we go next. Once everybody has the statement and has calmed down, then we start to look around and see where we go next. It is still bullish at the moment. I have no interest in shorting.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.