US equity indices attempt a modest recovery, but year-end conditions keep momentum muted. While markets appear directionless in the short term, the broader trend remains constructive, with pullbacks still viewed as buying opportunities.
The NASDAQ 100 is slightly positive in the early hours on Wednesday as the 25,000 level continues to offer support. Whether or not we can take off to the upside remains to be seen, as we are more or less treading water right around the 50-day EMA at the same time.
What is interesting is that an inverted hammer formed on Monday, a hammer on Tuesday, and now the market is trying to recover, but it is not a straight shot higher. Ultimately, this looks like a market that is sitting and waiting for something to get it moving. With that being the case, and the fact that it is the end of the year, it is not a huge surprise to see very little going on. This is a market that may just bump along in this area. That being said, the upside is still favored in general, and over the longer term, this is a market that continues to rise. If we were to break down, the area around 24,250 would be watched for major support.
The Dow Jones 30 has bounced cleanly from the 48,000 level and looks like it is going to try to continue to march higher from here. This has been a relative outperformer recently, as traders focus on the idea of loose money helping manufacturing. Whether or not that actually happens remains to be seen, but that is the theory. The Dow Jones 30 is expected to eventually look toward the 48,800 level, where it topped out recently, and pullbacks continue to be buying opportunities.
The S&P 500 continues to cling to the 6,800 level, with the 50-day EMA offering support during the trading session on Tuesday. This again looks like a situation where the market eventually goes higher, but there is not a whole lot going on at the moment. The market appears to be slowly grinding its way into the holiday season, where performance is likely to be lackluster.
That being said, this is still not a market to short. It is one that should grind higher eventually, and after the new year, momentum should pick up as more volume comes into the market. There is no real sign of a long-term breakdown, and it is not until a move below 6,500 that there would be real concern.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.