Natural Gas continues to see a lot of back and forth at extreme low positions. Because of this, I have found it an investment in my portfolio.
As you can see, we rallied slightly during the early hours on Tuesday. But at this point in time, it is still a market that’s trying to build a bit of a base. I don’t know whether or not this is the end of the selling, but it certainly is close to the bottom. The $1.50 level is an area that you have to pay a lot of attention to. It is an area that’s been important multiple times in the past.
The market has formed a little bit of a short-term double bottom, and we’ll have to see how much further we can go. I think you have plenty of time to get involved here because this is a swing trade that’s looking to set up one that could send this market all the way to the $3 level.
In short, we have the 20 day EMA just above as offering resistance. If we can break above there, then the 50 day EMA is right at the $2 level. So I think this is a nice short term setup for those who are just looking for smash and grab trade, but I think more importantly, it’s a great swing trade setup for those who can hang on to the position, perhaps for months.
And that’s what I personally am doing. I’m doing it through an ETF. So, there’s no leverage, and the day-to-day gyration really doesn’t make a huge difference in my account, but once we start looking at maybe the last winter storm or perhaps a heat wave, that might give me an opportunity to dump some off, collect a little bit of profit, let it fall, and then in fall, prices rise again.
So, this is kind of an ongoing nuanced position that I will find myself in. I certainly wouldn’t be a seller now. There aren’t that many people left to sell, too. So, with that being said, I am invested in natural gas. I wouldn’t even say I’m bullish.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.