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Natural Gas Price Forecast – Natural Gas Continues to Grind Away

By:
Christopher Lewis
Published: Jul 24, 2023, 13:21 GMT+00:00

The natural gas markets continue to see a bit of a basing pattern at this point in time.

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Natural Gas Price Forecast Video for 25.07.23

Natural Gas Technical Analysis

Early on Monday, the natural gas markets displayed limited movement, with traders taking time to absorb the substantial gains achieved on Thursday. As market conditions stabilize, there is a growing anticipation that prices could soon reach the significant $3.00 level. This psychologically important threshold is expected to garner considerable attention from investors and may serve as a trigger for a potential breakout. Should this crucial level be breached, a surge of “FOMO trading” is likely, as traders rush to capitalize on the evident bullish momentum.

Support for natural gas prices lies below the market’s current levels, specifically at the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average. This support has been pivotal in attracting buyers during price dips, contributing to the establishment of a longer-term bottom. Consequently, investors should not be surprised to witness continued interest from buyers at these levels.

Considering the mounting pressure in the market, the likelihood of an upcoming breakout appears increasingly probable. With this outlook in mind, the idea of adding to existing positions may hold appeal. As the summer progresses, the market could witness a significant upward surge, influenced by various factors affecting supply and demand dynamics.

Given the seasonal play and the potential for a bullish breakout, shorting natural gas does not seem like a prudent strategy. While short-term traders might identify opportunities for gains within the range, patient investors stand a chance to profit considerably from a breakout. The anticipation of such a profitable move calls for a cautious and long-term approach to trading.

As an American trader, I personally prefer utilizing the ETF market for my natural gas positions. However, traders in other countries can leverage the CFD market, which offers greater flexibility in managing position sizes compared to futures contracts. As the precise timing of the market breakout remains uncertain, holding onto the trade for the longer term appears more sensible. The potential for doubling one’s investment by fall is undeniably alluring, making natural gas an attractive asset to monitor in the coming months.

Ultimately, the natural gas markets are currently experiencing a period of consolidation following substantial gains. The $3.00 level holds critical importance and could act as a catalyst for a potential breakout, resulting in increased trading activity. With support from the 50-Day EMA and a growing sense of market pressure, the prospect of higher prices in the future is likely. Adopting a patient approach and preparing for the possibility of a profitable breakout may prove to be a wise strategy for investors interested in capitalizing on the natural gas market’s promising potential.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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