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Natural Gas Price Forecast – Natural gas markets continue to look soft

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 30, 2019, 16:19 GMT+00:00

Natural gas markets continue to struggle in general, as the Tuesday session would have seen even more weakness. With that being the case, the market is very likely to continue its overall trend.

Natural gas daily chart, July 31, 2019

Natural gas markets have initially tried to rally during the trading session on Tuesday but gave back quite a bit of the gains. This is a continuation of the negativity that we have seen for some time, so it makes sense that this downtrend has kicked back into gear. We currently find ourselves just above the $2.00 level, so it would not surprise me at all to see this market come into play and push towards that vital round figure. That being said, I also expect that the $2.00 level should offer a significant amount of support. If we reach that level, I would expect a bounce, a lease for the short term.

NATGAS Video 31.07.19

Ultimately, if we were to break down below the $2.00 level, that would be an extraordinarily negative sign. At that point, it would show a massive “flush lower” in the energy market, showing signs of extraordinarily negative pressure. With that being the case, I suspect it’s only a matter of time before we could see a massive drop, followed by a massive “dead cat bounce.” I don’t necessarily expect that to be the case but having said that it’s important to at least keep the alternate scenario in the back of our mind.

To the upside, I think that the $2.20 level is massive resistance, that extends above there quite drastically. Ultimately, the market should offer selling opportunities every time we rally, so signs of exhaustion should be a nice opportunity to take advantage of short-term rallies that are out of line with the overall bearishness of the natural gas markets.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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