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Natural Gas Price Forecast – natural gas markets fall hard on Monday

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Sep 4, 2018, 05:36 UTC

Natural gas markets fell hard during electronic trading on Monday, as liquidity may have been a bit of an issue. Nonetheless, with the Americans gone the natural gas markets struggled and broke through a psychological level.

Natural gas daily chart, September 04, 2018

Natural gas markets gapped lower to open the session on Monday, and then fell through the $2.85 level. On the hourly chart though, we are starting to see a bit of a hammer just below that level, so we may try to bounce from here, but at this point I think that will only end up being a nice buying opportunity. Alternately, if we can break down below the hammer on the hourly chart, which is at roughly the $2.81, the market will probably continue to go much lower. At this point, the gap at the open of the session will more than likely be a resistance barrier above, that can give us a bit of a guideposts as to how high we can go.

Ultimately, I think that the market will probably go down to the $2.70 level underneath, which is the bottom of the larger consolidation area that we have been following for some time. I also believe that the global growth slowing down has people concerned about demand for natural gas and energy in general. Overall, I think that the market continues to offer a nice selling opportunity, and at this point I think that it’s only a matter of time that the sellers will continue to punish this market. I think that the market will struggle to get above the $2.92 level, but even if it does I think there’s even more resistance above at the $2.95 level going forward. I am a seller of natural gas and have no interest in buying this market.

NATGAS Video 04.09.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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