Natural gas markets got crushed on Monday as we have seen temperatures in the U.S. drop a bit. There is support underneath and I am looking to buy.
Natural gas markets have broken down significantly during the trading session on Monday to reach down towards the $1.60 level. There is a massive amount of support between the $1.60 level and the $1.50 level, so I think at the first signs of a bounce there will be plenty of buyers the jump in and try to push this market to the upside. The $1.50 level has been extraordinarily supportive over the longer term, and therefore I think it continues to be an area where the buyers will step in.
As we start to see the market get closer to that area, there will be a lot of people looking to get involved. The 50 day EMA is near the $1.76 area, and I think that will be the first thing that we go looking towards. If we can break above there, then the market is likely to go above the $1.80 level. Above there, the market is likely to go looking towards the $2.00 level, and therefore I think it is only likely that there would be a lot of sellers in that area due to the 200 day EMA.
As I said a few sessions ago, I believe that we are going to continue to go back and forth between the $1.50 level and the $2.00 level. As we are closer to the bottom, it is likely that we are looking for the value hunters to get in and start picking this backup. Furthermore, there are a lot of bankruptcies out there hitting the industry so supply should continue to slow down over the longer term.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.