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Natural Gas Price Forecast – natural gas markets pulled back from rally

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jul 27, 2018, 04:53 UTC

Natural gas markets initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, reaching towards the $2.79 level where we found sellers to push the market back down. This is a region that I think is very resistive, and I think there is plenty of supply in this area. In fact, we have already started to roll back over.

Natural gas daily chart, July 27, 2018

The natural gas markets initially tried to reach towards the $2.79 level above but broke down significantly from there to reach below the $2.77 level. It looks as if the market is getting a bit exhausted as I record this video, and I believe that we will continue to drift lower, perhaps reaching towards the $2.75 level, and then eventually the $2.71 level again. If we can break down below the $2.70 level, the market could unwind rather drastically, perhaps reaching down to the $2.60 level underneath. That has been the bottom of the larger consolidation area, and I think that the market participants will look at that as an excellent buying opportunity. It also makes a juicy target for sellers. Because of this, I think we will eventually go looking towards that level.

In the short term though, it’s likely that we will try to reach to at least the $2.70 level, where the significant demand returns. Short-term traders will continue to sell short-term rallies as we have seen during the day, and I think it’s only a matter of time before they get their way. Even if we did break higher, for me I believe that the $2.80 level and the $2.85 level will both be far too resistive for the market over, in the short term. Expect volatility, but certainly the downside is the safer bet.

NATGAS Video 27.07.18

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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