Natural gas markets broke rather strongly to the upside during the trading session on Wednesday, clearing the $2.20 level rather handily. With this, the market looks very likely to offer a nice selling opportunity, not a buying opportunity soon.
Natural gas markets have broken higher during the trading session on Wednesday, showing signs of real strength as we broke above the $2.20 level. We are reaching towards the $2.25 level at this point which of course is a psychologically important figure, but at this point in time it is still a very negative trend and you should not forget that. After all, we have recently formed a “lower low”, which is a very definition of a negative trend.
Just above, there is the red 50 day EMA, so it makes sense that we are going to try to find sellers there as well. However, I don’t even think that we get to that point in the short term unless something changes. The $2.30 level above is massive resistance, and at that point I think we would probably see potential selling as well. We are in a downtrend and that isn’t going to change anytime soon. This rally is probably more of a relief rally than anything else, and it’s not until we break above the $2.50 level that I would be truly impressed by a potential move to the upside. I think it’s only a matter time before we form some type of exhaustive candle that we can take advantage of, and I will in fact be doing that as soon as it shows up.
To the downside I see the $2.00 level underneath, which of course is a major target. That’s also an area where I think a lot of buyers will return, so that is roughly where I think the entire trend could change as we head into colder months.
Please let us know what you think in the comments below
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.