The natural gas market continues to rally, as we are now looking at cooler temperatures coming in the next several weeks. At this point, we are trading the November contract, meaning higher demand would be expected.
The natural gas markets have gapped higher to kick off the trading session on Tuesday, pulled back to fill that gap and then rallied again to show signs of life. Ultimately, this is a market that I think, given enough time, probably continues to climb and may even threaten the $3.60 level. The $3.60 level is an area that previously has been resistant. So, I think it does make a certain amount of sense that we get a little bit of a fight there.
The market breaking above that then opens up the possibility of a move to the $4 level. All things being considered, it is the time of year when temperatures start dropping and therefore people will be looking for short-term pullbacks as buying opportunities, as demand will certainly increase for natural gas to heat homes in the United States and Northern Europe. We do have a massive gap from the rollover that extends all the way down to the $3 level, but we’ll just have to see if that actually comes into play.
I do think that any sustained pullback at this point probably gets looked at with suspicion, as natural gas will almost certainly continue to be favorable for buyers to be involved in over the next couple of months. We are currently in the month of November for futures markets. And November does tend to see a pickup in natural gas consumption. So, everything is moving along as you would expect.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.