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Natural Gas Weekly Price Forecast – natural gas markets continue to show weakness

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Feb 1, 2019, 18:22 UTC

Natural gas markets fell during the week, reaching down towards the $2.75 level. This is the major support level that I have marked on the chart, that I think it extends to much lower levels. That being said, we have fallen so hard that I think it’s only a matter time before we get a bit of a bounce.

Natural gas weekly chart, February 04, 2019

Natural gas markets have fallen again during the week, gapping lower to kick it off, and then reaching towards the $2.75 level. That’s an area that has offered support previously, but I think that support extends all the way down to the $2.50 level. With that being the case, I think there is plenty of support and therefore I wouldn’t be looking to short this market. Rather than try to fight this major area, I think you are simply better served waiting for a much easier opportunity.

NATGAS Video 04.02.19

That being the case, if we can rally from here, then I would be looking for some type of exhaustive candle that I can start shorting. The three dollars level is the initial resistance, but quite frankly I would rather see the market reached towards the $3.25 level, maybe even the $3.50 level. Any signs of weakness at a higher level is reason enough to short, but we have fallen so far that I think shorting here is very reckless, especially from a longer-term perspective. For what it’s worth, the Friday candlestick is a bit of a hammer so we may get that bounce rather quickly. For the longer-term trader, you are probably going to need to wait a couple of weeks to get involved and start shorting again. Buying at this area, although possible, is probably very dangerous.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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