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Christopher Lewis
Natural gas weekly chart, February 04, 2019

Natural gas markets have fallen again during the week, gapping lower to kick it off, and then reaching towards the $2.75 level. That’s an area that has offered support previously, but I think that support extends all the way down to the $2.50 level. With that being the case, I think there is plenty of support and therefore I wouldn’t be looking to short this market. Rather than try to fight this major area, I think you are simply better served waiting for a much easier opportunity.

NATGAS Video 04.02.19

That being the case, if we can rally from here, then I would be looking for some type of exhaustive candle that I can start shorting. The three dollars level is the initial resistance, but quite frankly I would rather see the market reached towards the $3.25 level, maybe even the $3.50 level. Any signs of weakness at a higher level is reason enough to short, but we have fallen so far that I think shorting here is very reckless, especially from a longer-term perspective. For what it’s worth, the Friday candlestick is a bit of a hammer so we may get that bounce rather quickly. For the longer-term trader, you are probably going to need to wait a couple of weeks to get involved and start shorting again. Buying at this area, although possible, is probably very dangerous.

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