Natural gas markets initially gapped higher during the week, but then fell rather drastically, before turning around and showing signs of life again. This is an extraordinarily volatile market under the best of circumstances, and right now it’s getting worse.
Natural gas markets continue to do everything they can to wreck accounts as we have been all over the place for the week yet again. The market gapped higher, and then broke down, only to turn around and find buyers again. The resulting candlestick is something kind of like a hammer, sitting just below the $7.00 level. The $7.00 level has a certain amount of psychology attached to it, but it also has been structurally resistant previously.
By the end of the week, it looks like we’re going to hang around the $6.50 level yet again, an area that I think is going to continue to be of importance. Underneath there, you have the $6.00 level, and then eventually the $5.00 level.
At this point, a lot of people are starting to pay close attention to the weather in the United States, which is supposed to be colder over the next several weeks, but at the same time you also have to pay close attention to the fact that the Freeport terminal is not going to be sending LNG to the European Union. This means that the hope of higher prices due to European demand is still on the sidelines.
The 50-Week sits right at the $6.45 level, so that’s an area worth watching as well, and quite frankly I don’t know how you could be comfortable trading this market from the longer-term, simply because it is so volatile at this moment. You are much better off trading short-term range bound trades, assuming that you should be trading at all.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.