Natural gas markets had initially rally during the week but ran into a significant amount of resistance at the $2.00 level. At this point, it’s very likely that the market is going to continue to be very noisy.
Natural gas markets have initially tried to rally a bit during the week but ran into a lot of resistance at the $2.00 level. Ultimately, the market rolling over the way it has to form a bit of a shooting star suggests that there are plenty of sellers out there. However, if we were to break above the top of the shooting star, then it’s likely that the $2.10 level above would also cause issues and most certainly the $2.20 level will. Keep in mind that the natural gas markets have been in a downtrend for some time and although we are at an extremely low level, the reality is that the market has no reason to rally for a significant amount of time.
Eventually, the slew of bankruptcies that will be coming in the United States for the natural gas industry will eventually lift price, but we are quite a way from there so keep in mind it may take some time for that to happen. I do believe that happens given enough time but it’s going to take quite a bit of effort and litigation to make that happen. I believe that rallies will be sold into time and time again, at least until we see some type of complete collapse of the industry. To the downside, I believe that the $1.60 level will be extraordinarily difficult to break down through, as it has been very supportive in the past. Ultimately, I believe that the market will try to reach that level sometime this year, and then start rallying based upon the bloodbath that I expect to see in the industry.
Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.