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Natural Gas Weekly Price Forecast – Natural gas markets show signs of weakness yet again

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 2, 2019, 17:58 UTC

Natural gas markets tried to rally during the week but found enough resistance above the $2.20 level to continue to rollover. Quite frankly, this is a time of year when natural gas will continue to struggle, as the market participants are keen to the fact that the oversupply continues to be a major issue.

Natural gas weekly chart, August 05, 2019

Natural gas markets of course have shown a proclivity to go lower as of late, as every time we rally the sellers step in. That was no different this time, as above the $2.20 level the sellers came out in force. That being the case, it’s very likely that we are going to see a lot of concern when it comes to the natural gas markets. That being said, there is the $2.00 level underneath that will of course be psychologically important.

NATGAS Video 05.08.19

I anticipate that we will see some type of bounce from there, but I wouldn’t hold my breath for it to be a trend change. After all, it is the wrong time of year to expect a lot of bullish pressure in this market, and I do think that we are probably going to see a lot of uncertainty. With this, I think that the market participants continue to look at this is a market that gives you plenty of opportunity every time it rallies to start selling.

I do think that we could very well break the $2.00 level but I also recognize that the “law of big figures” comes into play. It’s not until we break above the $2.50 level that I can take any rally seriously, and quite frankly I don’t expect to see that based upon the weekly candle stick that just formed. Short-term traders continue to be sellers, longer-term traders don’t have as much room to move.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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