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Natural Gas Weekly Price Forecast – Natural gas markets show signs of weakness yet again

By
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Aug 2, 2019, 17:58 GMT+00:00

Natural gas markets tried to rally during the week but found enough resistance above the $2.20 level to continue to rollover. Quite frankly, this is a time of year when natural gas will continue to struggle, as the market participants are keen to the fact that the oversupply continues to be a major issue.

Natural gas weekly chart, August 05, 2019

Natural gas markets of course have shown a proclivity to go lower as of late, as every time we rally the sellers step in. That was no different this time, as above the $2.20 level the sellers came out in force. That being the case, it’s very likely that we are going to see a lot of concern when it comes to the natural gas markets. That being said, there is the $2.00 level underneath that will of course be psychologically important.

NATGAS Video 05.08.19

I anticipate that we will see some type of bounce from there, but I wouldn’t hold my breath for it to be a trend change. After all, it is the wrong time of year to expect a lot of bullish pressure in this market, and I do think that we are probably going to see a lot of uncertainty. With this, I think that the market participants continue to look at this is a market that gives you plenty of opportunity every time it rallies to start selling.

I do think that we could very well break the $2.00 level but I also recognize that the “law of big figures” comes into play. It’s not until we break above the $2.50 level that I can take any rally seriously, and quite frankly I don’t expect to see that based upon the weekly candle stick that just formed. Short-term traders continue to be sellers, longer-term traders don’t have as much room to move.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below

About the Author

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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