FXEMPIRE
All
Ad
Advertisement
Advertisement
James Hyerczyk
Add to Bookmarks
WTI and Brent Crude Oil

U.S. WTI West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures are trading slightly lower while putting in a mixed performance on Monday.

Prices are being pressured on concerns that a catastrophic second wave of a coronavirus epidemic in India cut short a recovery in oil demand in the country, offsetting optimism about a rebound in consumption in developed countries and China in the second half of the year, Reuters reported.

Advertisement
Know where WTI Crude Oil is headed? Take advantage now with 

Trading Derivatives carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Derivatives may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved, and seek independent advice if necessary. A Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) can be obtained either from this website or on request from our offices and should be considered before entering into a transaction with us. Raw Spread accounts offer spreads from 0.0 pips with a commission charge of USD $3.50 per 100k traded. Standard account offer spreads from 1 pips with no additional commission charges. Spreads on CFD indices start at 0.4 points. The information on this site is not directed at residents in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

At 10:40 GMT, June WTI crude oil is trading $63.58, unchanged and July Brent crude oil is at $66.57, down $0.19 or -0.28%.

Fuel Sales Drop in India

State-level restrictions aimed at stemming infections in India have led to lower fuel sales in the world’s third largest consumer in April, preliminary data shows. According to a report, overall fuel demand is down by about 7% from the April 2019 pre-COVID level after nearly reaching this level in March.

Advertisement

Elsewhere Vaccination Progress Expected to Lift Demand

Outside of India, Japan, Brazil and now Argentina, the rollout of vaccination campaigns is expected to lift oil demand, especially in the Euro Zone, which is finally making progress after a dismal first quarter, prompting analysts to increase their forecasts for Brent prices for a fifth straight month, a Reuters poll showed.

OPEC Pumped More Oil as Expected, US Production Down in February

On the supply side, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries pumped 25.17 million bpd in April, up 100,000 barrels from March, as Iran and other producers increased output. OPEC’s production has risen every month since June 2020 with the exception of February.

In the United States, crude oil production dropped by over a million barrels per day in February, to the lowest levels since October 2017, according to a monthly government report on Friday.

Daily Outlook

There is nothing in the news particularly bullish on Monday so gains could be capped and prices could actually fall if conditions in India escalate.

According to Reuters, India’s COVID-19 total cases are nudging close to 20 million and analysts are expecting a sharper slump in the country’s demand for transportation fuels in May due to more restrictions.

Furthermore, on Sunday, a leading Indian industry body urged authorities to curtail economic activity, as the nation’s healthcare system was overwhelmed by the spiraling infections.

Also on the bearish side, Iran and the United States are in talks to revive a nuclear deal which could lead to a lifting of U.S. sanctions that would allow Iran to ramp up oil exports. Additionally, in the Unites States, energy firms added oil and natural gas rigs last week, leading to a ninth straight monthly rig count increase, as a recovery in prices lured some drillers back to the wellpad, according to Baker Hughes.

Finally, traders will be watching the ISM Manufacturing PMI. It is expected to come in at 65.0, up from 64.7. A much better than expected number could be supportive for crude oil prices.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Don't miss a thing!
Discover what's moving the markets. Sign up for a daily update delivered to your inbox

Trade With A Regulated Broker