Silver did very little on Monday, as we continue to see a lot of noise more than anything else.
Silver experienced a slight downturn in the trading session on Monday, likely driven by the initiation of profit-taking activities. Considering the current price’s closeness to the upper boundary of a broader range within a prolonged consolidation phase, a modest retreat is a sensible course. However, it’s worth highlighting that historical patterns indicate a potential rebound in the near future, contributing to the ongoing market turbulence.
The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average emerges as a probable support level, furnishing a temporary pause in the market’s trajectory. This interval offers an opportunity for market recalibration. Should the 50-Day EMA be breached, the market might trend towards the 200-Day EMA, a critical technical indicator of notable significance. In an extreme scenario, surpassing this threshold might initiate a descent toward the $22 level. Although this scenario might not be the most likely, it warrants careful consideration.
Furthermore, the interplay between the silver market and the US dollar is worth noting, particularly the inverse correlation between the two. With Jerome Powell’s speeches on the horizon, it’s anticipated that the US dollar will undergo substantial fluctuations within the next 24 hours. Consequently, traders already involved in the silver trade might opt to secure their gains, whereas those not yet engaged could find it judicious to delay decisions until the following week. Given the predicted upsurge in market volatility, exercising prudence is highly advisable, especially due to silver’s inherent propensity for more pronounced price oscillations compared to other assets.
To conclude, the minor dip observed in the silver market during Friday’s trading session corresponds with profit-taking endeavors. This response is logical, given the imminent Jackson Hole Symposium and its impactful speeches. The potential influence of Jerome Powell and the current price’s proximity to a notable range peak rationalize a modest retraction. The 50-Day EMA presents a possible support juncture, allowing the market a breather for adjustment. While the 200-Day EMA holds significance, a breach might signify further declines. The reciprocal connection between silver and the US dollar emphasizes the importance of Jerome Powell’s speeches, potentially heightening the dollar’s volatility. Hence, proceeding with caution and potentially deferring actions until the weekend’s market fluctuations settle is a prudent approach. Given silver’s inherent volatility, maintaining vigilance remains paramount.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.