The silver market continues to see a lot of noisy support just below current levels, as we are looking to find some momentum in this silver market to get it back to the $39 region. At this point, there is no reason to think of shorting.
The silver market initially pulled back just a touch during the early hours on Tuesday only to show signs of strength yet again. All things being equal, this is a market that I do believe continues to respect the $37.50 level as massive support, especially now that the 50-day EMA is racing toward that level. It’s worth noting that the $37.50 level had previously been significant resistance before it became support, so there’s a lot of order flow in this area.
All things being equal, I also recognize that this is a market that is still very bound with the $39 level above being significant resistance. Anything above there opens up the possibility of a move to the $40 level, although I don’t necessarily think it happens right away. I expect a lot of choppy back and forth trading, but I prefer to buy the dips more than anything else, and I certainly don’t want to short silver.
In fact, it’s really not until we break down below the $35 level that I would even start to consider that the trend may be in serious trouble. Remember, this is a time of year where volume drops off, so it does make a certain amount of sense that we just meander sideways for a while as traders do everything they can to at least attempt to figure out what to do next.
But also, I think we’re waiting on a lot of things such as the results of the Jackson Hole Symposium, whether or not the Federal Reserve is going to become aggressive in cutting its rates, and of course, indicators that could tell us about industrial demand for silver. So, at this point, I’m bullish, but somewhat muted in my expectations.
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Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.