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Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Momentum Strong at $29.35, Further Gains Ahead?

By:
Arslan Ali
Updated: Aug 21, 2024, 10:42 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • Silver continues to climb, trading in the mid-$29.00s amid safe-haven demand.
  • Samsung's new battery could significantly increase global silver demand.
  • Silver’s bullish trend holds above $29.34, with targets near $29.83 in sight.
Silver (XAG) Daily Forecast: Momentum Strong at $29.35, Further Gains Ahead?

Market Overview

Silver (XAG/USD) continued its upward momentum during the European trading session on Wednesday, trading in the mid-$29.00s. This recovery follows the metal’s recent dip to its lowest level since May, driven by a dovish Federal Reserve stance, pressure on the US dollar, and geopolitical uncertainties, which have bolstered silver’s status as a safe-haven asset.

Samsung’s Solid-State Battery: A Game Changer for Silver Demand

According to retired investment professional Kevin Bambrough, Samsung’s new solid-state (SS) battery, incorporating silver as a key component, is set to drive significant demand for the metal.

This battery features a silver-carbon (Ag-C) composite layer that enhances performance, offering a 600-mile range, 20-year lifespan, and 9-minute charge time. Bambrough estimates that each battery pack could require around 1 kg of silver.

With 16 million EVs potentially adopting this technology, annual silver demand could rise by 16,000 metric tons—nearly two-thirds of current global production. This surge, coupled with ongoing demand from the solar industry, points to a bullish outlook for silver.

Essential Points

  • Anticipation of a September Federal Reserve rate cut has boosted silver prices.
  • Investors expect a 25 basis point rate reduction, leading to lower US Treasury yields and a weaker dollar.
  • The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool shows a 70% probability of the rate cut, reflecting strong market sentiment.
  • A Reuters poll suggests most economists anticipate 25 basis point cuts at each of the Fed’s three remaining 2024 meetings.
  • Fed Governor Michelle Bowman warns inflation concerns may delay rate cuts, potentially limiting silver gains.
  • Geopolitical tensions further drive demand for silver as a safe-haven asset, supporting the metal’s recent rally.

Short-Term Forecast

Silver (XAG/USD) continues its upward trend, trading near $29.53. The price is supported by bullish momentum, with key support at $29.34, indicating potential for further gains.

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

Silver - Chart
Silver – Chart

Silver (XAG/USD) is currently trading at $29.53, up by 0.29% on the 4-hour chart. The metal has found solid support around the $29.34 level, which was previously a key resistance. This level is now acting as a strong base for silver’s continued upward movement.

The recent formation of doji candles, coupled with a bullish engulfing candle above $29.34, indicates that buyers are still in control, and the bullish momentum could continue.

Both the 50-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), at $28.58 and $28.70, respectively, reinforce this bullish outlook. If silver can maintain its position above $29.34, the next target to watch is $29.83.

However, if it dips below $29.34, we might see a quick sell-off. For now, the market looks favourable for further gains.

About the Author

Arslan is a finance MBA and also holds an MPhil degree in behavioral finance. An expert in financial analysis and investor psychology, Arslan uses his academic background to bring valuable insights about market sentiment and whether instruments are likely to be overbought or oversold.

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