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S&P 500; US Indexes Fundamental Daily Forecast – Investors Downplay Syria Bombing, Focus on Earnings

By:
James Hyerczyk
Published: Apr 16, 2018, 22:05 UTC

Investors have high expectations for this earnings season, with analysts expecting a 17.3 percent increase in first-quarter earnings, according to FactSet.

U.S. Stock Indexes

The major U.S. stock indexes finished sharply higher on Monday as tensions eased over an escalating conflict in Syria. The indexes were also underpinned by strong earnings reports from some of the biggest U.S. corporations.

In the cash market, the benchmark S&P 500 Index settled at 2677.84, up 21.54 or +0.81%. The blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 24573.04, up 212.90 or +0.87% and the tech-driven NASDAQ Composite finished at 7158.13, up 51.48 or +0.72%.

E-mini S&P 500 Index
Daily June E-mini S&P 500 Index

The Dow was driven higher by strong performances in the materials and telecommunications sectors. Individually, Merck was the biggest gainer in the average. Merck shares jumped 2.6 percent after the company said its cancer-treatment drug Keytruda reduced the risk of death in a trial by 51 percent when combined with chemotherapies, versus chemo alone.

Shares of pharmacies and drug distributors, including Cardinal Health, CVS, McKesson and Walgreens, spiked higher on Monday after Amazon Business shelved its plan to sell and distribute pharmaceutical products after considering it last year, according to people familiar with the matter.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index
Daily June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index

Instead, the company is focused on selling to hospitals and smaller clinics through Amazon Business – and it found that business to be more challenging than expected.

Investors seemed to buy into the idea that the U.S.-led attack on Syria last Saturday morning (local time) was a one-and-done event. To recap, the U.S. military conducted precision missile strikes against the Syrian government as a response to a chemical attack carried out in the country. The attack was conducted in conjunction with France and the U.K.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index
Daily June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index

The Pentagon described the U.S.-led strikes as a “justified, legitimate and proportionate response” to the Syrian regime’s continued use of chemical weapons. Although Syria and its allies, Russian and Iran, strongly protested the action, investors did not fear retaliation.

In other news, Bank of America reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings. The bank’s earnings were helped by loan growth and lower corporate taxes.

Investors have high expectations for this earnings season, with analysts expecting a 17.3 percent increase in first-quarter earnings, according to FactSet.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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