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U.S. Dollar Attempts To Rebound After Sell-Off: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Aug 4, 2025, 16:25 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD made an attempt to climb above the 1.1600 level but lost momentum and pulled back.
  • GBP/USD failed to settle above the 1.3300 level.
  • USD/JPY continued its attempts to settle below the support at 147.50 - 148.00.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Stabilizes After Sell-Off

DXY
DXY 040825 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders react to the better-than-expected Factory Orders report. The report indicated that Factory Orders decreased by -4.8% month-over-month in June, compared to analyst forecast of -4.9%.

If U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle above the 99.00 level, it will move towards the resistance level at 99.20 – 99.40.

EUR/USD Tests Resistance At 1.1575 – 1.1590

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 040825 4h Chart

EUR/USD continued its attempts to settle above the resistance level at 1.1575 – 1.1590. There are no important economic reports scheduled to be released in the EU today, so traders will stay focused on general market sentiment.

A move above the 1.1590 level will push EUR/USD towards the next resistance at 1.1685 – 1.1700.

GBP/USD Tested New Highs

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 040825 4h Chart

GBP/USD gained some ground amid lack of strong catalysts. It remains to be seen whether GBP/USD will continue the rebound, which was triggered by the disappointing U.S. Non Farm Payrolls data.

If GBP/USD settles above the 1.3300 level, it will head towards the resistance level at 1.3370 – 1.3390.

USD/CAD Is Mostly Flat As Traders Wait For Additional Catalysts

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 040825 4h Chart

USD/CAD stabilized after the recent sell-off. Precious metals markets are moving higher, but this move does not provide sufficient support to the Canadian dollar.

In case USD/CAD climbs back above the 1.3800 level, it will head towards the resistance level at 1.3845 – 1.3860.

USD/JPY Attempts To Settle Below The Support At 147.50 – 148.00

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 040825 4h Chart

USD/JPY moved lower as pullback continued. From the technical point of view, USD/JPY is trying to settle below the support level at 147.50 – 148.00.

RSI is in the moderate territory, so there is plenty of room to gain momentum in the near term. If USD/JPY stays below the 147.50 level, it will head towards the recent lows near the 146.00 level.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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