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U.S. Dollar Gains Ground As Initial Jobless Claims Drop To 231,000: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Sep 18, 2025, 17:01 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD is under pressure as traders react to Powell's comments and U.S. job market data.
  • GBP/USD pulls back as BoE left the interest rate unchanged.
  • USD/JPY gains ground ahead of BoJ Interest Rate Decision.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Rebounds From Yearly Lows

DXY 180925 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders focus on the better-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims report. The report showed that 231,000 Americans filed for unemployment benefits in a week, compared to analyst forecast of 240,000.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance level at 97.10 – 97.25. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will head towards the next resistance at 98.00 – 98.20.

EUR/USD Is Under Pressure

EUR/USD 180925 4h Chart

EUR/USD is losing ground as traders stay focused on Powell’s comments and take profits after the recent move.

If EUR/USD settles below the 50 MA at 1.1760, it will head towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.1685 – 1.1700 range.

GBP/USD Retreats As BoE Leaves Rates Unchanged

GBP/USD 180925 4h Chart

GBP/USD is moving lower as traders react to BoE Interest Rate Decision. The BoE left the interest rate unchanged at 4%, in line with analyst estimates. Two BoE members voted for a cut, in line with analyst estimates.

In case GBP/USD settles below the 1.3550 level, it will head towards the next support, which is located in the 1.3485 – 1.3500 range.

USD/CAD Gains Ground As Demand For Commodity-Related Currencies Declines

USD/CAD 180925 4h Chart

USD/CAD is moving higher as traders focus on the pullback in gold markets. Other commodity-related currencies are also losing ground in today’s trading session.

A move above the 50 MA at 1.3811 will push USD/CAD towards the next resistance level at 1.3845 – 1.3860.

USD/JPY Moves Higher Ahead Of BoJ Interest Rate Decision

USD/JPY 180925 4h Chart

USD/JPY tests resistance at 147.50 – 148.00 as traders focus on rising Treasury yields and prepare for BoJ Interest Rate Decision, which will be released tomorrow.

In case USD/JPY manages to settle above the 148.00 level, it will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 151.00 – 151.50 range.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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