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U.S. Dollar Gains Ground On Safe-Haven Demand: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Oct 21, 2025, 16:34 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD declined towards the 1.1600 level as pullback continued.
  • USD/CAD moved lower as Canada's inflation reports exceeded analyst estimates.
  • USD/JPY rallied as Takaichi has been elected Japan's Prime Minister.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Index Tests Resistance At 98.85 – 99.00

DXY 211025 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders focus on the strong sell-off in precious metals markets.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance at 98.85 – 99.00. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will move towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 100.00 – 100.15 range.

EUR/USD Remains Under Pressure

EUR/USD 211025 4h Chart

EUR/USD pulled back amid lack of additional positive catalysts. There are no important economic reports scheduled to be released in the EU today, so traders will stay focused on general market sentiment.

In case EUR/USD manages to settle below the support at 1.1585 – 1.1600, it will head towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.1505 – 1.1520 range.

GBP/USD Pulled Back Below 1.3400

GBP/USD 211025 4h Chart

GBP/USD is losing ground as traders continue to take profits after the strong rebound from October lows.

A move below the support at 1.3330 – 1.3350 will open the way to the test of the next support level at 1.3235 – 1.3250.

USD/CAD Retreats As Canada’s Inflation Rate Jumps to 2.4%

USD/CAD 211025 4h Chart

USD/CAD pulled back as traders reacted to inflation data from Canada. Inflation Rate increased from 1.9% in August to 2.4% in September, compared to analyst consensus of 2.3%. Core Inflation Rate grew from 2.6% to 2.8%, compared to analyst forecast of 2.7%.

A successful test of the support at 1.4000 – 1.4015 will push USD/CAD towards the next support level, which is located in the 1.3910 – 1.3925 range.

USD/JPY Moves Higher As Traders Focus On Japan’s New Prime Minister

USD/JPY 211025 4h Chart

USD/JPY gained ground despite falling Treasury yields. Sanae Takaichi, who is known for her dovish views on monetary policy, has been elected Japan’s Prime Minister.

If USD/JPY stays above the resistance at 151.00 – 151.50, it will gain additional upside momentum and head towards the resistance level at 154.50 – 155.00.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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