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U.S. Dollar Rallies As GDP Growth Rate Beats Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Sep 25, 2025, 16:46 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back below 1.1700 as traders reacted to the U.S. GDP report.
  • GBP/USD tests support at 1.3335 - 1.3350.
  • USD/JPY climbed towards the 150.00 level as Treasury yields moved higher.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Soars As Traders Focus On GDP Data

DXY 250925 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index rallied as traders reacted to the better-than-expected GDP Growth Rate report. The report indicated that second-quarter GDP Growth Rate was +3.8%, compared to analyst forecast of +3.3%.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance level at 98.00 – 98.20. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 98.85 – 99.00 range.

EUR/USD Tests Support At 1.1685 – 1.1700

EUR/USD 250925 4h Chart

EUR/USD retreats as traders focus on U.S. economic data. In the EU, traders had a chance to take a look at GfK Consumer Confidence report from Germany. The report showed that Consumer Confidence improved from -23.5 in September to -22.3 in October, compared to analyst forecast of -23.3.

A successful test of the support at 1.1685 – 1.1700 will open the way to the test of the next support level at 1.1585 – 1.1600.

GBP/USD Tests New Lows As Pullback Continues

GBP/USD 250925 4h Chart

GBP/USD tests new lows as traders reduce bets on dovish Fed after the release of strong U.S. GDP data.

In case GBP/USD manages to settle below the support at 1.3335 – 1.3350, it will move towards the next support level at 1.3150 – 1.3165.

USD/CAD Rallied Above The 1.3900 Level

USD/CAD 250925 4h Chart

USD/CAD gains ground as demand for commodity-related currencies declined despite the rally in precious metals markets.

If USD/CAD settles above the nearest resistance at 1.3910 – 1.3925, it will move towards the next resistance level at 1.4000 – 1.4015.

USD/JPY Tests New Highs As Treasury Yields Rise

USD/JPY 250925 4h Chart

USD/JPY is moving higher as traders focus on rising Treasury yields. The yield of 2-year Treasuries climbed above the 3.65% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries moved above 4.17%.

A move above the 150.00 level will push USD/JPY towards the resistance at 151.00 – 151.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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