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U.S. Dollar Rallies As PPI Beats Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Aug 14, 2025, 16:51 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back below the 1.1650 level as traders reacted to Producer Prices data from the U.S.
  • GBP/USD declined below the 1.3550 level despite the strong UK GDP report.
  • USD/CAD climbed above 1.3800 amid falling demand for commodity-related currencies.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Rebounds As Traders Focus On Inflation Risks

DXY
DXY 140825 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders react to Producer Prices report. The report indicated that PPI increased by +0.9% month-over-month in July, compared to analyst forecast of +0.2%. Tariffs had a material impact on Producer Prices, and inflation risks have increased.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle above the resistance at 98.00 – 98.20. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will move towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 99.20 – 99.40 range.

EUR/USD Retreats As Traders Cut Bets On Dovish Fed

EUR/USD
EUR/USD 140825 4h Chart

EUR/USD pulls back as traders focus on U.S. PPI report. In the EU, traders had a chance to take a look at the Euro Area Industrial Production report for June. The report showed that Industrial Production declined by -1.3% month-over-month, compared to analyst forecast of -1%.

If EUR/USD settles below the 50 MA at 1.1636, it will move towards the support level at 1.1575 – 1.1590.

GBP/USD Pulls Back As Traders React To U.S. Producer Prices Data

GBP/USD
GBP/USD 140825 4h Chart

GBP/USD is losing ground despite the better-than-expected UK GDP report. The report indicated that GDP increased by +0.4% month-over-month in June, compared to analyst consensus of +0.1%.

A move below the 1.3530 level opens the way to the test of the support level, which is located in the 1.3485 – 1.3500 range.

USD/CAD Attempts To Settle Above 1.3800

USD/CAD
USD/CAD 140825 4h Chart

USD/CAD tests new highs as demand for commodity-related currencies falls despite rising oil markets.

In case USD/CAD settles above the 1.3800 level, it will head towards the resistance at 1.3845 – 1.3860.

USD/JPY Gains Ground As Treasury Yields Rebound

USD/JPY
USD/JPY 140825 4h Chart

USD/JPY tests resistance at 147.50 – 148.00 as traders focus on rising Treasury yields.

In case this test is successful, USD/JPY will move towards the next resistance at 151.00 – 151.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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