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U.S. Dollar Tests New Highs As Rebound Continues: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By:
Vladimir Zernov
Published: Sep 19, 2025, 16:51 GMT+00:00

Key Points:

  • EUR/USD pulled back towards the 1.1750 level as traders focused on Producer Prices report from Germany.
  • GBP/USD moved lower amid concerns about UK budget deficit.
  • USD/JPY was mostly flat as traders reacted to BoJ Interest Rate decision.
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts

U.S. Dollar Moves Higher Amid Profit-Taking

DXY 190925 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index gains ground as traders continue to reduce their short positions after Fed Interest Rate Decision.

U.S. Dollar Index settled above the previous resistance at 97.10 – 97.30 and is trying to settle above the 97.50 level. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 98.00 – 98.20 range.

EUR/USD Tests The 1.1750 Level

EUR/USD 190925 4h Chart

EUR/USD is losing ground as traders focus on the Producer Prices report from Germany. The report indicated that Producer Prices declined by -2.2% year-over-year in August, compared to analyst forecast of -1.7%.

If EUR/USD stays below the 1.1750 level, it will head towards the support level at 1.1685 – 1.1700.

GBP/USD Retreats As Traders Focus On UK Budget Deficit

GBP/USD 190925 4h Chart

GBP/USD remains under pressure despite the better-than-expected UK Retail Sales report. The report showed that UK Retail Sales increased by +0.5% month-over-month in August, compared to analyst forecast of +0.3%. Traders ignored the data and focused on UK budget deficit.

A successful test of the support at 1.3485 – 1.3500 will push GBP/USD towards the next support level at 1.3335 – 1.3350.

USD/CAD Pulls Back As Canada’s Retail Sales Beat Estimates

USD/CAD 190925 4h Chart

USD/CAD moved lower as traders reacted to the better-than-expected Retail Sales report from Canada. The report indicated that Retail Sales increased by +1.0% month-over-month in August, compared to analyst consensus of +0.4%.

In case USD/CAD stays below the 1.3800 level, it will head towards the support at 1.3735 – 1.3750.

USD/JPY Is Stuck Near 148.00 As BoJ Keeps Rates Unchanged

USD/JPY 190925 4h Chart

USD/JPY is mostly flat as traders focus on BoJ Interest Rate Decision. The BoJ left the interest rate unchanged at 0.5%, in line with analyst estimates.

A move above the resistance at 147.50 – 148.00 will push USD/JPY towards the next resistance level at 151.00 – 151.50.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

Vladimir is an independent trader, with over 18 years of experience in the financial markets. His expertise spans a wide range of instruments like stocks, futures, forex, indices, and commodities, forecasting both long-term and short-term market movements.

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