The US dollar fell against the Japanese yen on Wednesday, perhaps in a bit of a safety bid. Overall, the currency markets are a bit rattled, but the market is approaching a significant support level just below so it’ll be interesting to see how this plays out.
The US dollar fell hard against the Japanese yen as traders around the world began to fear the idea of a no deal Brexit. This has expressed itself in a huge “risk off” move, but at the end of the day we are at very significant support levels in this pair, so it would not surprise me at all to see a bit of a bounce. If we do drop from here, the next major support level is ¥110.50 level, followed by the ¥110 level, which is even more supportive. It is because of this that I believe the downward momentum in this pair is somewhat limited, and I would be looking for some type of buying opportunity.
This will be especially true if the stock markets around the world start to perk up again, which is something that could happen in the blink of an eye. Remember, markets aren’t necessarily rational, so it can be a simple tweet or rumor that has people thinking that the Brexit will go smoother than originally anticipated, and then the next thing you know everybody is selling the Japanese yen in a bid to pick up a bit of alpha.
If we were to break down below the ¥110 level, that would be a very negative move and would send this pair much lower. That would probably be accompanied by some type of bad news globally, and therefore wouldn’t be much of a surprise.
Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.