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WTI and Brent Forecast: Oil Bulls Return as Supply Risks Build

By
Christopher Lewis

WTI and Brent extend their recovery as Middle East supply concerns drive oil higher, with WTI eyeing $103 and Brent facing resistance near $110.

WTI Crude Oil Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of WTI Crude Oil futures bouncing above the 50-day EMA near $93.80.
TradingView daily price chart for WTI Crude Oil displaying a recovery toward $94 following a test of the 50-day EMA support area.

The WTI Crude Oil market is recovering from a pretty significant sell-off to test the 50-day EMA. The WTI crude oil market has gapped higher, only to pull back and bounce, showing signs of life. The 50-day EMA is obviously a technical indicator that a lot of people will be watching.

Brent Oil Price Forecast

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It’s worth noting that the markets have been trying to price in the idea of peace and, I think, are now getting a little bit of a reality check. Therefore, we have seen the markets start to price in the fact that the conflict in the Middle East is not being solved overnight.

With this being said, it makes sense that perhaps traders are looking to try and fill the gap near the $103 level. With all of the damage being done to the oil infrastructure and the lack of supply, it is not a real stretch of the imagination.

Brent Technical Analysis

Daily candlestick chart of Brent Crude Oil futures holding above the $100 support level.
Brent Crude Oil daily chart highlighting price consolidation above $105 with long-term resistance sitting near $110.

Brent markets look like they are continuing to recover as well. There is some previous resistance at $110, while the $100 level seems to be a bit of support. Ultimately, this is a market that has been very noisy for a while, but again, it is moving on all of the same things.

The fact that there is a lot of concern about the free flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz and, quite frankly, beyond, I think, continues to be a major driver here. It looks bullish and, in fact, you could even say there is a bullish flag.

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About the Author

Christopher LewisSenior Analyst

Chris is a proprietary trader with more than 20 years of experience across various markets, including currencies, indices and commodities. As a senior analyst at FXEmpire since the website’s early days, he offers readers advanced market perspectives to navigate today’s financial landscape with confidence.

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