Speculation about a potential shift in the SEC’s stance on crypto-spot ETFs triggered an XRP rally.
REX Shares announced the imminent launch of the REX-Osprey DOGE ETF, stating:
“The Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF, DOJE, is coming soon! DOJE will be the first ETF to deliver exposure to the performance of the iconic memecoin, DOGE.”
Notably, the REX-Osprey SOL ETF launched in July despite the SEC delaying the launches of the Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (DGLC) and the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund (BITW). GDLC and BITW will provide investors with exposure to XRP alongside other cryptos.
Nate Geraci, president at NovaDius Wealth Management, commented on the REX Shares announcement, stating:
“First Dogecoin ETF appears likely to launch this week… Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF (DOJE). Get ready. Think we’re in for a wild next 2 months for crypto ETFs.”
The launch of the DOGE-spot ETF could suggest the SEC is closer to finalizing a standardized crypto ETF framework. The framework would likely green-light the approval of pending XRP-spot ETF applications.
XRP-spot ETF launches could give Main Street access to the token, with long-term institutional inflows crucial to XRP’s price trajectory.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have been the beneficiaries of spot ETF launches and robust demand from Main Street investors. BTC rose to an August all-time high of $123,731, while ETH struck a record high of $4,958 on spot ETF inflows.
By contrast, XRP fell back from its July all-time high of $3.66 (Binance) to a September 1 low of $2.6990 as investors reacted to the SEC postponing the launches of GDLC and BITW. XRP stumbled despite the resolution of the SEC vs. Ripple case. The conclusion was a crucial stepping stone to an XRP-spot ETF market.
Nate Geraci recently commented on the potential demand for XRP-spot ETFs, stating:
“You heard it here first… People are severely underestimating investor demand for spot XRP & SOL ETFs. Just like they did w/ spot BTC & ETH ETFs.”
Geraci made similar remarks ahead of the launch of BTC-spot and ETH-spot ETFs, which have seen net inflows of $54.47 billion and $12.74 billion, respectively.
XRP rallied 2.4% on Sunday, September 7, reversing Saturday’s 0.14% loss to close at $2.8783. The token outperformed the broader market (1.15%), edging closer to the psychological $3 level. Traders are watching the following technical levels:
In the near term, several key catalysts could drive price action:
XRP’s outlook hinges on corporate, macroeconomic, and regulatory factors. Potential price scenarios include:
Bearish Scenario
These bearish scenarios could push XRP below $2.7, potentially exposing the $2.5 level.
Bullish Scenario
These catalysts could send XRP above its $3.66 (Binance) record high.
The Market Structure Bill’s progress in the Senate and the SEC approving XRP-spot ETFs are key price catalysts.
In the meantime, news from Capitol Hill and spot ETF-related developments would likely influence sentiment. The SEC’s standardized crypto ETF framework, or bipartisan support for the revised draft Market Structure Bill, could fuel a breakout above the crucial $3 level. However, setbacks or delays risk dragging XRP back toward key support levels.
For traders, the next two months may dictate whether XRP hits fresh highs—or stumbles under the weight of regulatory uncertainty.
Analysts will closely monitor how regulatory and economic risks affect XRP’s trajectory in the coming months.
With over 28 years of experience in the financial industry, Bob has worked with various global rating agencies and multinational banks. Currently he is covering currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes and global equities, focusing mostly on European and Asian markets.