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Global Stocks Steady as Merkel Holds onto Power in Germany

By:
Ed Anderson
Published: Jul 3, 2018, 08:06 UTC

Stock markets are stabilizing today as Asian equities are showing mixed results. An agreement reached in German late yesterday has removed some pressure from Angela Merkel and a small relief rally brought the DAX higher.

Global stocks steady

The RBA left rate on hold at 1.5% for Australia saying that inflation is likely to remain slow for some time, household consumption remains a source of uncertainty while low wage growth is likely to continue for some time. AUDUSD moved up from 0.73299 to 0.73607 and continues to climb as a result.

US WTI Oil has added 0.8% this morning as Libya declared a force majeure on its supply commitments as government forces have lost control of port facilities needed to export crude, with the action lowering supplies by 850K bpd. US Private inventories data will be released later today with a strong draw of 4.5M barrels expected.

Stock markets are stabilizing today as Asian equities are showing mixed results. An agreement reached in German late yesterday has removed some pressure from Angela Merkel and a small relief rally brought the DAX higher.

Macroeconomic data

UK Markit Manufacturing PMI (Jun) was out with a reading of 54.4 against an expected headline number of 54.0 from54.4 prior which was revised down to 54.3. The reading shows that the data beat expectations and was in line with the previous number. Slower output growth was a factor cited in the weakening number despite stronger new order inflows, strengthening job creation and is off the November highs. GBPUSD moved up from 1.31539 to 1.31749 following this data release.

Eurozone Unemployment Rate (May) was 8.4% against an expected 8.5% from the previous 8.5% which was revised down to 8.4%. The Unemployment Rate fell to a new low of 8.4%, a level not seen since August 2008. It had remained at 8.5% for the last three readings showing that the labor has stabilized somewhat. It is estimated that there are now 13.656M people unemployed in the euro area in May. EURGBP moved up from 0.88377 to 0.88522 after this data release.

US ISM Prices Paid (June) was out at 76.8 against a consensus of 76.2 expected. The previous reading was 79.5and this shows a beat on the forecast of drop in the cost of goods and services from the previous month’s number. ISM Manufacturing PMI (June) was also out and came in at 60.2beating the expectation of 58.1 from 58.7 previously. This number is moving higher towards the high of 60.8 in February.  USDJPY fell from 110.905 to 110.671 after this data release.

  • EURUSD is up 0.07% overnight, trading aroun1.16467.
  • USDJPY is up 0.08% in the early session, trading at around 110.980
  • GBPUSD is up 0.06% this morning trading around 1.31495
  • Gold is down –0.16% in early morning trading at around $1,239.90
  • WTI is up 0.77% this morning, trading around $73.40

This article was written by FxPro

About the Author

Ed Andersoncontributor

Ed Anderson has over 35 years of experience in the financial markets, having worked in London, New York, Toronto, Singapore and Australia. Ed provides in-depth Fundamental and Technical Analysis, as well as frequent market insights on multiple asset classes, to the benefit of FxPro clients.

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