Non-Farm Payrolls Rise by 311,000 in February vs 205,000 Estimate; Unemployment Rate Jumps to 3.6%.

James Hyerczyk
Updated: Mar 10, 2023, 13:50 UTC

There was some good news on the inflation side, as average hourly earnings rose 4.6% from a year ago, below the estimate for 4.8%.

Non-Farm Payrolls Report

U.S. labor market growth decelerated in February but was still stronger than forecasted despite the Federal Reserve’s efforts to slow the economy and reduce inflation.

Non-Farm Payrolls rose 311,000 in February, more than expected as jobs growth stays hot. They were forecast to increase by 225,000, while the unemployment rate jumped to 3.6% versus a 3.4% forecast.

Average hourly earnings rose 4.6% from a year ago, below the estimate for 4.8%. The monthly increase of 0.2% also was below the 0.4% estimate.

Though the jobs number was stronger than expectations, February’s growth represented a deceleration from an unusually strong January.

The year opened with a nonfarm payrolls gain of 504,000, a total that was revised down only slightly from the initially reported 517,000. December’s total also was taken down slightly, to 239,000, a decrease of 21,000 from the previous estimate.

Stocks were mixed following the release, while Treasury yields were mostly lower.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

About the Author

James is a Florida-based technical analyst, market researcher, educator and trader with 35+ years of experience. He is an expert in the area of patterns, price and time analysis as it applies to futures, Forex, and stocks.

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