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The Mueller Report: Trump Survives to Fight another Day

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Mar 24, 2019, 23:34 UTC

Trump free from the Robert Mueller investigation, while not fully exonerated. Will there be one final twist or is it onwards and upwards to 2020?

Donald Trump

It’s been a long time coming, but after a lengthy investigation into the U.S administration’s presidential campaign, Trump lives to fight another day.

Special Counsel Robert Mueller investigated the U.S administration for what felt like years. The markets even gave up on the report. A lack of an interview with the U.S president throughout the investigation did raise some eyebrows, however.

“No Collusion, No Obstruction, Complete and Total Exoneration. Keep America Great!” was President Trump’s Tweet to the news. One does wonder whether there were any hot under the collar moments. After all, the investigation didn’t come without its victims…

Who Went Down

The investigation led to Robert Mueller handing out jail sentences like hot dinners…

Top of the food tree was a jail sentence for Trump’s campaign chairman Paul Manafort. Others who pled guilty, included Michael Cohen, Michael Flynn, George Papadopoulos, Richard Pinedo, Alex van der Zwaan, and Rick Gates. The nature of the criminal findings will no doubt question the validity of Mueller’s findings.

Trump and the administration will be delighted, however, and rightly so. Too many people went to jail and an even larger number were charged by the special counsel. Not even one slip of the tongue. The final high profile case that remains is against Roger Stone. As a long-time Trump adviser, Mueller charged Stone with obstruction, lying to Congress and witness tampering. Well, the President didn’t get his hands dirty, but his team certainly did.

The Aftershock

Needless to say, the Democrats were less than amused. As is the case in any criminal investigation, beyond a reasonable doubt is the line that needs to be crossed. A lack of evidence was attributed to the Mueller report conclusions.

Interestingly, Rudy Giuliani said that the report was better than he had expected…

Almost 2-years of investigations and 2,800 subpoenas, not to mention the man hours, search warrants and interviews, delivered zip.

2020

The showdown between Trump and Bernie Sanders is now on for 2020. Hillary Clinton managed to scupper Sanders’ chances last time around and, while Oprah Winfrey is in the fray this time around, the Democrat’s chances are looking slim…

Too many candidates will be in favor of a 2nd republican term unless Trump tanks the U.S economy with his trade war. Not completely implausible considering the recent spate of disappointing stats out of the U.S and the FED’s shift on monetary policy.

For now, geopolitical risk is off the table, on Capitol Hill at least. Onwards and upwards. At the time of writing the future markets were in the green, though it remains to be seen whether they can hold on…

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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