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ADA Price Prediction: Bulls to Target the Monday High of $0.416

By:
Bob Mason
Published: Nov 4, 2022, 02:54 UTC

ADA is on the move this morning. However, IOHK weekly updates and the US Jobs report will need to be ADA-friendly to support an extended rally.

ADA Tech Analysis - FX Empire

Key Insights:

  • On Thursday, cardano (ADA) rose by 1.04% to end the day at sub-$0.400 for the second consecutive session.
  • US economic indicators reversed losses from the morning session.
  • The technical indicators are bullish, with ADA sitting above the 200-day EMA to bring sub-$0.410 into view.

On Thursday, ADA rose by 1.04%. Partially reversing a 3.74% slide from Wednesday, ADA ended the day at $0.390. Notably, ADA wrapped up the day at sub-$0.400 for the second consecutive session.

A mixed start to the day saw ADA fall to an early low of $0.384. Steering clear of the First Major Support Level (S1) at $0.374, ADA rose to a mid-morning high of $0.399. Coming up short of the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $0.403, ADA fell back to sub-$0.390 before finding support from the US economic calendar.

Weaker-than-expected ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Unit Labor Cost numbers delivered ADA price support.

Network updates were also ADA-positive ahead of the weekly development report.

Input Output HK Network Updates Deliver Price Support

On Thursday, Input Output HK (IOHK) delivered the latest network update, saying,

“OUT NOW: #Daedalus mainnet 5.1.1 has just been released.”

IOHK went on to say,

“This update increases the minimum required free disk space for running a fully synced Daedalus wallet from 2GB to 4GB.”

IOHK also announced the arrival of new cryptographic primatives ‘to enable secure, cross-chain #DApp development.’

While the latest network updates were not as significant as the Vasil hard fork, network enhancements and developments remain ADA-positive.

Later today, the IOHK will release the weekly development update with the project numbers of interest. However, the US Jobs Report could overshadow the update. A sharp increase in nonfarm payrolls would fuel bets of another 75-basis point Fed rate hike in December, which would weigh on riskier assets.

ADA Price Action

This morning, ADA was up 3.33% to $0.403. A mixed start to the day saw ADA fall to an early low of $0.388 before rising to a high of $0.404.

ADA broke through the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $0.398.

ADA on the move.
ADAUSD 041122 Daily Chart

Technical Indicators

ADA needs to hold above R1 and the $0.391 pivot to retarget the Second Major Resistance Level (R2) at $0.406. A return to the morning high of $0.404 would signal a possible breakout session. However, ADA would also need the support of the broader market for a sustained rally.

The US Jobs Report will need to be crypto-friendly.

In case of an extended rally, the bulls would likely take a run at Monday’s high of $0.416. The Third Major Resistance Level (R3) sits at $0.421.

A fall through R1 and the pivot would bring the First Major Support Level (S1) at $0.383 into play. However, barring another extended sell-off, ADA should avoid sub-$0.380 and the Second Major Support Level at $0.376. The Third Major Support Level (S3) sits at $0.361.

ADA resistance levels in play early.
ADAUSD 041122 Hourly Chart

This morning, the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below) sent a bullish signal.

ADA sat above the 200-day, currently at $0.399. The 50-day EMA closed in on the 200-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA narrowing to the 200-day EMA, delivering bullish signals.

A hold above the 200-day EMA ($0.399) would support a breakout from R2 ($0.406) to bring the Monday high of $0.416 into view. However, a fall through the 200-day EMA ($0.399) and R1 ($0.398) would give the bears a look at the 50-day EMA ($0.396).

EMAs bullish.

ADAUSD 041122 4-Hourly Chart

About the Author

Bob Masonauthor

With over 20 years of experience in the finance industry, Bob has been managing regional teams across Europe and Asia and focusing on analytics across both corporate and financial institutions. Currently he is covering developments relating to the financial markets, including currencies, commodities, alternative asset classes, and global equities.

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