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AUD/USD Price Forecast – Aussie continues to slump

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Jan 21, 2019, 16:29 UTC

The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the trading session on Monday but gave back the gains and rolled over towards the 0.7150 level. At this point, it certainly looks as if we are running out of momentum to the upside, so I think it’s only a matter of time before we fall a bit further.

AUD/USD daily chart, January 22, 2019

The Australian dollar initially tried to rally a bit during the trading session on Monday but gave back the gains to break below the 0.7150 level. The Australian dollar of course is very sensitive to the Chinese economy and of course the trade war. The market looks likely to roll over due to various concerns, and of course the economic numbers out of China becoming a bit softer. I think at this point we are finally seeing a pullback towards the support again underneath that I think will stabilize the overall uptrend of this pair.

AUD/USD Video 22.01.19

The 0.70 level underneath is the beginning of significant support down to the 0.68 handle, an area that has been important on longer-term charts, and therefore I think will be important in the meantime. I think a pullback to this area that shows a bit of support is an excellent opportunity to start buying again based upon the weekly, if not monthly charts. If we were to break down below the recent flash crash though, that would be an extraordinarily negative sign, sending this market down to the 0.65 handle. That being said, I do believe that we are trying to form a bit of a base in this market, so my default thought is that a bounce should occur, especially if we get some type of agreement between the Americans and the Chinese, as I would expect explosive move to the upside.

About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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