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AUD/USD Price Forecast – Australian Dollar Gets Hammered After Employment Figures Miss

By:
Christopher Lewis
Updated: Nov 14, 2019, 16:45 UTC

The Australian dollar got absolutely hammered during the trading session on Thursday as employment figures in Australia missed horribly. In fact, while initially expected to be a reading of 16,000 jobs added, the figure actually came in at -19,000.

AUD/USD daily chart, November 15, 2019

The Australian dollar has gotten absolutely hammered during the trading session on Thursday, breaking the 50 day EMA and screaming towards the 0.6775 handle. That’s an area that could see a little bit of support, and most certainly we have a lot of support underneath at the 0.67 handle. This was in result of a very poor employment figure, which shocked the world trading community. At this point, it makes sense that the Australian dollar would get crushed as a result, especially as the US dollar is fairly strong anyway.

AUD/USD Video 15.11.19

I suspect that a lot of the job losses have to do with the US/China trade war, which continues to be a major thorn in the side of the Australians. As long as that trade war continues, it’s difficult to imagine a scenario where Australia will be “in the clear” of any peripheral damage. Ultimately, I think that this market probably will continue to struggle to find its footing, and this latest announcement certainly doesn’t help. It did look like it was trying to form a bottoming pattern, if we do get some type of move forward between the Americans and the Chinese, these employment figures will soon be forgotten. However, these employment figures drive home exactly how damaging the trade war is going to be to some peripheral countries, with Australia being a specifically interesting one due to the fact that it is so highly levered to China. In a sense, Australia is probably more sensitive to the trade war than China itself.

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About the Author

Being FXEmpire’s analyst since the early days of the website, Chris has over 20 years of experience across various markets and assets – currencies, indices, and commodities. He is a proprietary trader as well trading institutional accounts.

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